Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1.721975 1.967234 2.236530 2.554409 2.919718 3.326788 3.815358
2025-08-31 1.340644 1.654492 2.027559 2.504679 3.100129 3.820661 4.761637
2025-09-07 1.151395 1.516958 1.981798 2.618487 3.471537 4.580139 6.138571
2025-09-14 0.992570 1.383556 1.910557 2.676749 3.769029 5.280400 7.548049
2025-09-21 0.850428 1.245237 1.805231 2.663246 3.955378 5.845640 8.851641
2025-09-28 0.716339 1.095309 1.657544 2.559957 3.986837 6.180576 9.856090
2025-10-05 0.661532 1.053417 1.659883 2.676902 4.360962 7.075322 11.855531
2025-10-12 0.618188 1.021931 1.671585 2.806208 4.767432 8.071020 14.167282
2025-10-19 0.567747 0.971206 1.643995 2.863727 5.057195 8.905786 16.322870
2025-10-26 0.522799 0.923276 1.613712 2.909970 5.329338 9.740525 18.598120
2025-11-02 0.465442 0.846113 1.522582 2.833770 5.365636 10.147489 20.119189
2025-11-09 0.406592 0.758998 1.402897 2.688139 5.249014 10.245951 21.038318
2025-11-16 0.370246 0.710653 1.351059 2.669478 5.384966 10.869701 23.165520
2025-11-23 0.334198 0.658652 1.286250 2.617001 5.446174 11.352920 25.078533
2025-11-30 0.320909 0.649874 1.304646 2.735922 5.880190 12.674008 29.061105
2025-12-07 0.302775 0.629017 1.296092 2.796794 6.197501 13.788787 32.761967
2025-12-14 0.279511 0.594673 1.255481 2.782597 6.345307 14.545491 35.738814
2025-12-21 0.250788 0.545337 1.177331 2.674447 6.262146 14.756900 37.404212
2025-12-28 0.243413 0.541949 1.198702 2.796843 6.740118 16.369535 42.929393
2026-01-04 0.237263 0.540554 1.224233 2.932196 7.268824 18.184977 49.319559
2026-01-11 0.226181 0.526497 1.219074 2.992408 7.617684 19.597629 54.864026
2026-01-18 0.215190 0.511400 1.209703 3.040819 7.942911 20.997025 60.628113
2026-01-25 0.197462 0.478104 1.152950 2.961042 7.916973 21.450561 63.704262